Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Barnsley
30.5%
Draw
34.9%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Barnsley
vs
1.14
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).