Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.9%
Zaragoza
30.2%
Draw
50.9%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Zaragoza
vs
1.21
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS32.1%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.6%
0-0
15.9%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
2-0
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).