Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Virtus Entella
31.2%
Draw
25.9%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Virtus Entella
vs
0.93
Bari
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).