Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Albacete
24.7%
Draw
42.8%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Albacete
vs
1.53
Castellon
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).