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13 Dec 2020 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.2%
Erzurum BB
37.1%
Draw
30.6%
Genclerbirligi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Erzurum BB

vs
1.01

Genclerbirligi

Markets

BTTS44.7%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.9%
0-0
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
3-0
2.4%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).