Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Reading
27.9%
Draw
21.5%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Reading
vs
0.89
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).