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AHT: 01

07 Dec 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.9%
Mechelen
22.8%
Draw
51.4%
Club Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Mechelen

vs
1.95

Club Brugge

Markets

BTTS63.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
4.7%
0-3
4.6%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).