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01 Oct 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.4%
Kasimpasa
31.4%
Draw
31.2%
Gaziantep

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Kasimpasa

vs
1.32

Gaziantep

Markets

BTTS59.1%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.0%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).