Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Aberdeen
27.7%
Draw
19.4%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Aberdeen
vs
0.81
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).