Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Bayern Munich
17.0%
Draw
14.6%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
2.75
Bayern Munich
vs
1.25
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS67.2%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.576.1%
Over 3.556.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
1-1
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-2
5.0%
1-0
4.6%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
4-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).