Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Crawley Town
26.6%
Draw
31.9%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Crawley Town
vs
1.08
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).