⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 11CSV

09 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
13.9%
Konyaspor
24.4%
Draw
61.7%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Konyaspor

vs
2.15

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).