Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Le Havre
30.7%
Draw
27.4%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Le Havre
vs
0.78
Nantes
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.553.7%
Over 2.527.6%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
0-0
15.4%
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).