Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Freiburg
23.0%
Draw
17.5%
Bochum
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Freiburg
vs
0.98
Bochum
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).