Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Lille
26.7%
Draw
18.8%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Lille
vs
0.66
Angers
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.6%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).