Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Coventry
23.8%
Draw
17.8%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Coventry
vs
0.96
Swansea
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).