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AHT: 00CSV

09 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.3%
Exeter
24.6%
Draw
28.0%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Exeter

vs
1.02

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).