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DHT: 00CSV

02 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.0%
Doncaster
22.2%
Draw
53.9%
Charlton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Doncaster

vs
1.69

Charlton

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.1%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).