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05 Oct 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.0%
Huddersfield
18.4%
Draw
25.6%
Barnsley

Expected Goals (xG)

2.34

Huddersfield

vs
1.54

Barnsley

Markets

BTTS70.4%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.554.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.7%
1-1
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).