Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.7%
Werder Bremen
9.4%
Draw
85.9%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Werder Bremen
vs
3.53
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.593.4%
Over 2.581.0%
Over 3.563.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
9.4%
0-4
8.3%
0-2
8.0%
1-3
7.8%
1-4
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
0-5
5.8%
1-5
4.8%
0-1
4.3%
1-1
4.0%
2-3
3.2%
2-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).