Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Zorya Luhansk
25.5%
Draw
15.8%
Livyi Bereh
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Zorya Luhansk
vs
0.70
Livyi Bereh
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).