⚽ FootballData
0 – 2
AHT: 01

02 Mar 2025 · 16:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
23.7%
Šibenik
32.7%
Draw
43.6%
Varaždin

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Šibenik

vs
1.22

Varaždin

Markets

BTTS41.7%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
14.0%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).