Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Brentford
28.8%
Draw
24.8%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Brentford
vs
0.96
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).