Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Burnley
30.0%
Draw
38.1%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Burnley
vs
1.35
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).