Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Sassuolo
21.0%
Draw
9.1%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Sassuolo
vs
0.60
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
13.9%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.2%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
5.0%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).