Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
St Pauli
27.4%
Draw
33.1%
Elversberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
St Pauli
vs
1.34
Elversberg
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).