Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.8%
Nottingham Forest
23.4%
Draw
9.8%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Nottingham Forest
vs
0.60
Southampton
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
1-0
14.3%
1-1
10.8%
0-0
9.6%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).