Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.9%
Dortmund
14.8%
Draw
8.4%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
Dortmund
vs
0.84
Hertha
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.1%
1-1
6.8%
4-0
6.6%
4-1
5.5%
2-2
3.7%
5-0
3.6%
3-2
3.4%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).