Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Chievo
33.4%
Draw
24.7%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Chievo
vs
0.81
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.6%
1-0
14.9%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).