Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Malaga
23.2%
Draw
20.3%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Malaga
vs
0.95
Logrones
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).