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14 Oct 2023 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.4%
Bracknell Town
26.3%
Draw
51.3%
Redbridge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Bracknell Town

vs
1.43

Redbridge

Markets

BTTS42.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.2%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
10.6%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
0-4
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).