Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Leganes
29.7%
Draw
27.8%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Leganes
vs
0.88
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).