Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Paris FC
22.7%
Draw
19.5%
Grenoble
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Paris FC
vs
0.81
Grenoble
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).