Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Portsmouth
30.9%
Draw
42.4%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Portsmouth
vs
1.26
Millwall
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).