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AHT: 01CSV

23 Sept 2023 · 12:30

Celtic

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.6%
Livingston
16.4%
Draw
72.0%
Celtic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Livingston

vs
2.65

Celtic

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.1%
0-3
8.0%
1-1
7.3%
0-1
6.5%
1-4
5.3%
0-4
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
2-3
4.0%
2-1
3.5%
0-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).