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AHT: 11CSV

23 Sept 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.1%
Altrincham
27.7%
Draw
46.2%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Altrincham

vs
1.52

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).