Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Reading
22.8%
Draw
26.0%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Reading
vs
1.07
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.0%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).