Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Las Palmas
35.3%
Draw
35.6%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Las Palmas
vs
0.89
Getafe
Markets
BTTS32.1%
Over 0.580.6%
Over 1.549.9%
Over 2.523.3%
Over 3.58.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.4%
0-1
16.4%
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
2.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
3-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).