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AHT: 01

05 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk
28.6%
Draw
18.2%
LNZ Cherkasy

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Shakhtar Donetsk

vs
0.68

LNZ Cherkasy

Markets

BTTS37.2%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.3%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).