Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Roma
28.6%
Draw
19.6%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Roma
vs
0.68
Lazio
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).