Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Brentford
29.1%
Draw
14.3%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Brentford
vs
0.59
Wigan
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
0-0
14.4%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
2.3%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).