Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Nantes
25.8%
Draw
45.6%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Nantes
vs
1.43
Lorient
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).