Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Aldershot
24.2%
Draw
32.9%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Aldershot
vs
1.57
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
4.6%
0-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).