Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Red Star
21.3%
Draw
17.6%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Red Star
vs
0.81
Niort
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).