Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Salernitana
37.3%
Draw
34.8%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Salernitana
vs
0.88
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS32.5%
Over 0.579.3%
Over 1.550.1%
Over 2.522.7%
Over 3.58.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.7%
0-1
15.8%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
2.2%
2-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
3-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).