Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Genoa
22.8%
Draw
18.4%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Genoa
vs
0.87
Empoli
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).