Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Paris SG
19.5%
Draw
19.8%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Paris SG
vs
1.11
Lorient
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).