Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Hartlepool
33.0%
Draw
36.7%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Hartlepool
vs
1.06
Oldham
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.6%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).