Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Deportivo Alavés
30.5%
Draw
19.4%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Deportivo Alavés
vs
0.65
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
0-0
15.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.0%
0-2
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).