Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Grimsby
28.5%
Draw
39.3%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Grimsby
vs
1.13
Exeter
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).